Contd....
The question today is not whether it would happen or not rather when it would happen. If that is so, where does India stand in this currency conflict between two monetary superpowers. Will India allocate an equivalent share of its forex reserves to e-CNY like it does to USD? Will India ever match with China in digital payments infrastructure any time soon? China has over 1.2 billion active users paying via Alipay and over 1 billion using WeChat Pay
.............................................................................................................................................................................................. If India and China are equal in terms of population, why such a big gap in digital capabilities? The answer lies in Chinese state’s focus on mass adoption on both the future of money and the future of technology for decades. India cannot match China by copying the same model rather it needs an out-of-the-box thinking to bridge this gap.
1.1 Facebook’s Libra (now
DIEM) and other corporate currencies
.................................................... If we equate Facebook
network with a virtual nation, it has nearly as large a population (2.89
billion) as that of China and India
combined. There is hardly a corner in the world that does not have Facebook users.
The number is not only large but also quite embedded due to its massive network
effects. Such a big user base does have the potential of becoming the largest
P2P currency network in the world. The plan was scaled back after US regulators
restrained Facebook. However, the plan is still alive in somewhat diluted form
and with a different name. The issue here is that it may be halted today but
the idea of a corporate currency is very seductive for large platforms. What if
Google, Amazon or Microsoft start moving in the same direction. It is only a
matter of time when it will unravel.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... If this happens, corporate currencies will create
a new twist in the geopolitics of money. If countering e-CNY is a challenge for
India, adding corporate currencies to this would make it too big a threat for
the country to manage. Doing nothing on the monetary preparedness front now
might become a huge risk for India if such a threat emerges in near future.
1.2 Rise
of decentralized & non-sovereign currencies on public blockchains
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